Disk review: July 20th news, early Wednesday morning, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets opened lower, after the opening of the charging pile concept king returned, driving the Shanghai index to rise and turn red. However, the kinetic energy of many parties was insufficient, and the two cities quickly rallied. The concept of Internet lottery, which was eye-catching yesterday, was sluggish today, dragging down the decline of the Shanghai Composite Index. Near midday, the hot spot of the disk gradually recovered, and the two cities stabilized. In the afternoon, the Shanghai Composite Index maintained its momentum in the low position, and the growth rate of the GEM has narrowed and closed. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index was 3027.9 points, down 0.29%, ushered in five consecutive yin; Shenzhen Composite Index reported 10759.86 points, a decrease of 0.17%; GEM reported 2268.54 points, a decrease of 0.23%.
He Qunrong: Please be alert to the four black swan of A shares
Most of the recent market movements have been in a narrow range, but the focus of the market is gradually moving down. The market's callback is not large, but the volume of transactions has shrunk day by day, and the sluggish volume is not enough for the market to complete the upward breakthrough. The main sectors of the rebound in the previous period, such as consumption, second-tier blue chips, etc., have recently encountered pressure from profit taking. In this turbulent period of the market, other types of theme stocks took turns, but the speed of the subject stocks rotation was also very fast, and there was continuous doubt. If there is chasing, there is still risk.
On July 19th, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the latest Global Economic Outlook report. The report lowered the global economic growth forecast. However, this year's China's economic growth forecast has increased from 6.5% to 6.6%. It is still expected that China's economic growth will slow down to 6.2% in 2017. This is also a dawn in the Chinese economic outlook. In recent months, the overall economic data has been sluggish, but the unexpectedly new credit data in June also makes people feel that steady growth is continuing. The market had expected the overweight of monetary policy to approach, which mainly refers to a strong policy of lowering or lowering interest rates. However, from the recent policy tone of management's moderate policy, it may be difficult to release the RRR or interest rate cuts in the short term. The latest situation shows that the central bank carried out a 60 billion 7-day reverse repurchase on Tuesday, and the winning bid rate was 2.25%, which was the same as the previous period. On the same day, 30 billion reverse repurchase expired, achieving a net investment of 30 billion, which was the net for the second consecutive day. Delivery.
On the whole, the central bank has recently adopted a relatively moderate monetary policy such as open market operations to keep the market funds stable. Recently, Premier Li also said that Li Keqiang: To implement a prudent monetary policy, the active fiscal policy should play a four-plus-two role. In combination with the policy orientation of the recent period of time, the fiscal policy will continue to be overweight, and it is also a dominant policy, while monetary policies such as interest rate cuts have not yet reached the end of the code.
Since the end of May, the market has been in a turbulent upward trend since the end of May, but in July, there have been more and more black swan events in the market. One is the black swan of the delisting type, mainly because of the unprecedented strengthening of supervision and the favorable long-term market. . Be cautious about stocks that have a risk of delisting. The second is the black swan whose restricted shares are lifted. On July 18th, China Railway Construction dropped its volume and reached a total of 3.475 billion yuan. On two trading days, China Railway Construction's transaction amounted to 4.871 billion yuan, more than the previous month's volume of China Railway Construction. The reason is that China Railway Construction's non-public issuance of 1.242 billion shares expired, and it was listed and circulated on July 18. The lifting of the restricted shares has caused a sharp drop in the recent share price of China Railway Construction. The third is the black swan that is added or reorganized. Previously, the CSRC publicly solicited opinions on the revision of the Measures for the Restructuring of Major Assets of Listed Companies. This is another revision of the "Restructuring Measures" after November 2014. The focus is to further standardize the market-known "backdoor" listing behavior, embodying the concept of "regular supervision, strict supervision, and comprehensive supervision." In the past month or so, many listed companies have stopped the increase and other matters, and many companies in the current policy planning have to keep close follow-up.
The fourth is the performance of mines in the China Daily. For example, the results of the interim report released by the Golden Seed Wine of the liquor industry are much lower than market expectations, resulting in the continued stock price. The black swan of the individual consumer stocks such as Golden Seed Wine not only caused the decline of its stock price, but also completely changed the pattern of liquor or even the entire consumer sector. Previously, the liquor and consumer sectors could be said to have risen in tandem, but today's trend has become very different. July-August is a concentrated disclosure period for the performance of the mid-year report. Even if it is the consumer stocks that have historically performed the most performances in the annual report, there are also performances of black swan, not to mention other industries.
As the market is shrinking and the core pressure is not far from the top of the market, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines. Either wait to continue to return to the low-midline layout, or wait for an upward break to open up the medium-term upside. At present, the shrinkage is more serious. If the market is going up, relying on the theme stocks will definitely not be enough. First of all, we need a few days of blue chip stocks to increase the market volume, and drive the market to break through. After the breakthrough, the growth stocks will have a new round of performance opportunities. At the initial force, the strong sectors of the previous round of the market, such as financial IT, Beidou navigation, and consumer leaders may also follow the blue chip stocks. However, it is recommended to continue to be cautious before exerting strength.
Recommended reading: Review: Focus on the three elements of the market on Thursday will accelerate the decline?
Stock Sea Survival on the 20th Evening Review: Wuyin Star Tests Three Thousand Points Support
1: The market index: 3027 points; fell: 0.29%; today the market opened lower and lower, closed the small Yinxian. The volume of 171.5 billion was 15.7 billion less than the previous trading day of 18.72 billion; the hot spot in the session was: sapphire, public transportation and smart TV; while the gold concept, aviation and ship adjustments were in the first; the second market: 1,076, There were 38 daily limit; 1438 were down and 3 were down.
2: Survival Yesterday's late commentary titled: "The stock market survives on the 19th, the late evaluation: the short-term ideal stop-stop target" is: "The disk is at a certain support near 3000 points; and the strong support will be in Near the 20th line! In short: before the market regains the 5-day line, the trend of short-term adjustment will not change easily."
3: Today's market is a shock around the 10-day line. The main force reduced the current support limit to 3,000 points. The market has continuously received 5 small Yinxian lines, the test is everyone's confidence and patience. At present, the 10-day line of the broader market is no longer a support level or a resistance level. With the 5-day line heading down. The oscillating interval is compressed to: between the 5th and 3000th points. So tomorrow, as long as the market holds 3,000 points, it will continue to shrink the market repeatedly, and the stocks will continue to bloom!
Survival in the sea: the night of July 20, 2016
Jade name: shrinking and adjusting stars, 3000 points will be tested again
At present, the Shanghai stock index has shown a trend of five consecutive yin, although the decline is relatively limited, and has not broken below the effective support and important integer mark, the market is still dominated by the repair technical indicators, but the daily MACD has a dead fork Signs, KDJ also has signs of high passivation, so 3000 points will inevitably bear the pressure, especially in terms of volume energy, the Shanghai index has returned to 170 billion yuan, returning to the depressed energy range, such an amount can be difficult to maintain 3000 The attack mode above the point, and the history of 3000 points is a complex, long-lasting, tug-of-war pattern. Yuming believes that from the recent hot-spot trend, some clues can be seen. After the adjustment of strong stocks such as brokerages, non-ferrous stocks, new stocks, enchanting stocks and military workers, they have maintained a sideways trend. They have not launched another attack, or they have not yet raised funds. Be prepared to launch a new offensive, in a period of gaining momentum. At this stage, the long and short differences are large, but the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong, so there is a trend of the star line. After the GEM was tried to rise, it also fell back today.
The current market is very similar to 2002-2003. On the one hand, the market's loose monetary policy cannot continue to expand, and the macro liquidity margin has reached a limit. However, the previous two-year RRR cuts have ensured the abundance of stock liquidity, and also enabled the oscillatory market to have reserve momentum. On the other hand, after the rapid decline in the de-leverage of the stock market in 2002-2003, it was the rapid outflow of funds on and off the market after the dot-com bubble burst. At the same time, the stock market's earnings fell sharply, resulting in funds favoring other investment channels, such as real estate and futures. , bonds, etc. In today's Weibo subscription article "02-03 market two points suggest three seasons rhythm" not only detailed comparison of the above factors, ahi graphical analysis, after a wave of bubbles, the index fell rapidly, and then entered the decline resistance cycle, the formation The sideways oscillate and the band rebounded, and the final box fell. After the “last fall†appeared, the bear market ended and a new wave of bull markets began to appear. The most tempting thing here is the rebound in the bear market, and some new highs, but this makes the subsequent fall back even more fierce, and let the bull market brew in such pain. This has a lot of inspiration for today's market, especially for the current rhythm of the market in the third quarter. At 20:30 tonight, Yuming Weibo will explain this in detail. Welcome to watch it.
On the whole, after the recent index remained at a high level, the market risk appetite dropped significantly, and the volume was able to shrink sharply. The market adjustment momentum has already begun to emerge in the latter part of last week. The space in the index is limited, and the upper set of the plate cannot be underestimated. Therefore, the market is fluctuating in the short term. Yuming believes that the index has repeatedly competed for five days on the 10th line, and has also received five star lines. There is no breakthrough between the top and bottom. The purpose is actually to preserve the strong features, but the short-term 5-day moving average moves down and the 10-day moving average has formed a death. The trend of the fork, which will further suppress the rebound space of the index, which tends to converge with the trend of the MACD fast and slow line forming a short-term dead fork, when the index center of gravity will further fall back to 3000 points. In terms of strategy, the star line is a relay form. There is no clear direction and it needs to be confirmed by the K line. Therefore, after complying with the previously mentioned first half of July, there will be a rest in the second half of the month, and then at the end of the month. There should be a wave of high in early August, and the moment is just the adjustment and retreat cycle.
First River 20th Review: The market will change space with time
[Before the market opened, the market forecast is known]:
On Tuesday, the market opened lower by 3.33 points, back to the support near the 13-day moving average. In the afternoon, the market oscillated and closed up at 3036.6 points, down 6.96 points, or 0.23%, deep and weak.
Short-term corrections as scheduled, back to the 13-day moving average mentioned, patience and so on.
The MACD red column was shortened, KDJ was high and the CCI fell below 100; the OBV indicator turned head, and the deviation rate turned downwards. After the short-term shock of the market, there was a counter-pumping, and the pound was high.
The 15 minute line of the market is in the rallying area, and the back pumping is high and the pound is lost. The support of 3026-3010 cannot be broken. The pressure of 3068 - 3090 or so, the high and the pound, the breakthrough.
[Overview of the disk]:
The market opened at 3034.71 points, opened at 1.89 points, and oscillated around 3036. At midday, it closed at 3035.78 points, down slightly by 0.73 points, and the stocks fell more and more.
In the afternoon, the market continued to fluctuate. It closed at 3027.9 points in the afternoon, down 8.7 points, and the stocks fell more and more.
[First view of the city]:
The main market net outflow of 5.5 billion, the market has received 5 cross stars, seeking support near the 13-day moving average, you can absorb the bargain. The market outlook continues to maintain the pattern of shocks and upswings. The market outlook refers to the pressure of 3071 - 3097 or so, breaking through the high 3121 and 500-day moving averages around 3188. Pay attention to the pressure around 3100 and 3177.
The market MACD red column shortened, KDJ high dead fork, CCI fell below 100;
The OBV indicator was adjusted back, the deviation rate turned downward, and the market oscillated in a short-term shock.
The 30-minute line of the market hit the middle rail of the Bollinger Band and the pressure of around 3050. According to the ABC three-point positioning analysis method, the short-term entry into the rallies has been completed, and the first target mentioned in the first river is around 3071, and cannot be lost 3020-3000;
The 60-minute line hits the middle of the Bollinger Band. Test the support level of 3020 - 3000.
Investors took advantage of the trend and took advantage of the short-term trend, waiting for the callback to replenish opportunities. In the weekend article "waiting for a low-sucking opportunity", Xianhe said: Back to the support between the 5-day moving average and the 13-day moving average (3010 points), you can make up the bargain. The limit adjustment is near the 20-day moving average.
The risk is released in June, and July and August will usher in a “meal†market during the year. Of course, the market can't be done overnight, and the market will have to oscillate repeatedly.
The third quarter will usher in the best market environment of the year.
On the macro level, China's economy has entered an "L"-shaped transformation and bottoming state from the era of rapid growth. GDP has also entered the normal state of stable development in the "6" era from the "7" era, deepening the deepening of reforms. The series of reform policies are also being revised, released and implemented continuously, and the reform of state-owned enterprises has also entered the substantive operational stage.
The Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect has also been opened for one year. It is in good working condition, which is conducive to the improvement and opening of Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect technology. It will increase the “channel†of the A-share market, and the long-term funds and pensions that are highly concerned by market investors will also be available in the second half of the year. Expectations to enter the market, so under the stimulus of multiple positive expectations, the "Mavericks market" is worth looking forward to.
The ability to maintain the ability to continue is the key to the market. If the quantitative indicators continue to be effectively matched with the amplification, there is still room for further rebound in the market.
[Post-market judgment]
Xianhe City believes that the upward trend of the broader market has taken shape. 3100 points or an important watershed, the callback is a low-suction opportunity. Short-term callbacks, or 4 wave callbacks, with time for space, and then 5 waves back pumping.
As I said before: As long as the effective breakthrough of the 60-day, half-year line or 77-day moving average pressure, the market will regain its upward trend. Others fear me greedy. Only those who are market prophets can sail smoothly in this sea of ​​stocks.
The market opened in the second half of the year. Driven by risk appetite, the market is expected to see a "food" market. Industry configuration, optimistic about brokerage and rare earth and other sectors. Therefore, the selection of individual stocks, the layout of the short-term line is still an effective strategy.
[callback low suction skills]
1. The stock price deviates from the average price line, KDJ gold fork,
2. After the fall, begin to break through the trend pressure line.
3, KDJ gold fork, WR William under 80;
4. The stocks with the bottom of the MACD diverging or appearing red columns.
5, 5 unit moving averages should also start the Golden Fork 10 moving average.
Only "predictive like God", and then "executive like a fool", can "big retreat" in the red disk in time, will not pick up the last stick. In order to get the bargaining chips when the market is most scared.
[Point analysis]
GEM, shock zone 2260 - 2325 or so, pressure 2300, 2350 or so.
The market volatility range is 3020 - 3088, supporting 3030, 3021, 3012 or so.
The pressure is about 3050, 3070, 3088. The upward pressure is: 3100, 3120, 3134, 3150 or so. Time window around Thursday.
At present, it breaks through the shock box 2900-2950 points, which is close to the first target position of 3071 points (the high point is 3060.05 points and the target position is consistent). The second resistance is around 3117.
[Main trend]:
The top 5 sectors of the main net inflow are: wood furniture, integrated industry, delivery logistics, materials industry, pesticides and veterinary drugs.
The top 5 sectors of the main net outflow are: precious metals, non-ferrous metals, real estate, brokerage trusts, and chemical industries.
The short-term sectors that can be concerned are: wood furniture, general industry, delivery logistics, materials industry, pesticides and veterinary drugs. Pay attention to the rotation of the plates.
The concept that is expected to be hyped is: graphene, sapphire, colleges, 3D glass, charging piles, smart home, smart TV, virus prevention, domestic chips, smart city.
[See the trick is the key]
If you want to change your own destiny, you have to change your mind, keep up with the market rhythm, low suction and high throw, band operation!
The river has always believed in it: the judgment of the ups and downs is not important! The point of strain is the key!
Disclaimer: The above content is for reference only, not as a basis for investment decision, based on this, the risk is at your own risk!
Wang Guoqiang: The probability of going up tomorrow is big (original)
Last trading day said: "There is still stage pressure near 3043 points and 3050 points. It is a good sign to regain the closing price of 3054 points on Friday."
Soon after the opening of the market, it was just up to the first pressure of 3043 points and then fell back. The lowest rebound occurred in the 1522 support 3022 after encountering support. The band meteor data will converge tomorrow, and it is possible to choose a short-term breakthrough direction, or break the low yesterday. Point, the dream of this round of attack 3200 is shattered; or the second pressure level of 3050 points or even 3054 points began to break through. The market has received 5 consecutive yin, this year's market has only received 2 times 5 consecutive yin before this, there is no record of 6 consecutive yin, so the probability of closing the red tomorrow is great!
Make an appointment to visit Dalian on July 30, telephone: 155-666-66-968, Jay Chou.
07.20 Kingdom strong band meteor support: 3022; resistance: 3051; strong support: 3003; strong resistance: 3062
07.21 Kingdom strong band meteor support: 3018; resistance 3038; strong support: 3010; strong resistance: 3051
This week's weekly band meteor support: 3012; resistance: 3097; strong support: 2956; strong resistance: 3125
Last week's weekly band meteor support: 2937; resistance: 3039; strong support: 2879; strong resistance: 3082
July monthly line meteor support: 2860; resistance: 2999; strong support: 2765; strong resistance: 3042
Moonline band meteor support in June: 2805; resistance: 3028; strong support: 2681; strong resistance: 3128
Lianxin: I am about to face an important change
At noon, with the emergence of the current market, the current situation of stock market investors is relatively tight, so the next question to everyone is whether the sudden drop will occur, and the emergence is to buy. From this point, it can be seen that if the sudden fall does not occur, it means that the main interest in getting the goods is not large, which will restrict the rising space of the market to a certain extent. In this case, although there is still a rise after the expected rest, The meaning of buying is not great, and the main action here will also provide a reference for us to develop the selling point.
In the afternoon trend, the market will continue to oscillate until the close, inadvertently, the shock since the July 12 surge has been going on for six days. Judging from the amount of energy, the shocks of the last two trading days have been greatly reduced. Today, the volume can hit a new low, indicating that the market will open the window again tomorrow. A thoughtful friend will find that at noon, the author mentioned the problem of setting up a selling point. In combination with the re-emergence window that appears again in this position, some questions need to be said.
Where is the market currently located? This is the time point of nearly half a year after the occurrence of 2638 points, which means that the rise since 2638 has been going on for nearly half a year. It can be clearly seen from the k-line that this is only a rebound that corresponds to the decline in January. It is a high probability event to continue to fall after the rebound. So when the rebound has been going on for nearly half a year, the rebound since 2638 has actually entered the final stage, so the change point at the front high 3097 mark should be regarded as an important change.
From the recent k-line morphology, the current state is good, the quantity can be stable, and there is a rising ability. Once it rises again, a new high will appear and there is a possibility of continued rise. Based on the above analysis, as of today's close, the more objective evaluation of the market is that the rebound has entered the final stage, but the market has the ability to rise or even continue to rise.
According to the above analysis, the response to the change window that will be opened tomorrow will be clear. If the market is under heavy volume, for the friends holding the currency, it will provide a low buying opportunity, and the market is expected to go down first; if it is directly upward, for the shareholders who hold the shares, it will provide the opportunity to sell at a high position, after the new high. The task is to sell at an opportune time. In this regard, the author's article will also follow the recommendations in time.
Shoushan: Continue to shrink the small Yin typical retreat on the way (20th review)
Today, the market opened 13 points lower, the index fluctuated downwards, the highest touched 3043 points, the lowest hit 3022 points, closed at 3027 points, down 8 points, a decrease of 0.29%, the transaction further shrank, individual stocks fell more and less.
According to the analysis of the evaluation on Tuesday, “the short-term profit may continue to shrink and the market may stabilize. After the market consolidation, there will be or will continue to rise.â€
Today, the market oscillated down, and the super funds and total funds still have a large outflow.
After the market's Changyang, the trend of repeated small reversals has been on the sixth day. The Xiaoyin line has 5 out, but the transaction has gradually decreased. The characteristics of the callback on the rise are still quite obvious. It should be said that the current shocks and repeated small reversals are very strong adjustments. If the weak ones kill and fall, it is very normal to kill 20 antennas. Looking at the current disk, the possibility of gradually stabilizing and then continuing the uptrend is still very large.
Appropriate control of the position in operation, appropriate fallback.
Wang Dabin: The sky is rising and the sun is rising!
Today, the stock market can be said to be unpredictable, but the bulls have once again missed an opportunity to attack! In the end, it closed down 0.29% to 3027.90 points. The K-line formed a five-day yin, and the volume of the two cities continued to shrink. For many investors who are waiting for the market to be clear, the Shanghai stock index is shrinking after five consecutive yin, its mood is undoubtedly anxious. So, how to deal with such a market, what new phenomena in the market deserve our attention?
From the face of the disk, today's heavyweights continue to slump, and the stocks headed by the GEM began to perform. Lithium batteries have shown a good linkage performance under the leadership of Shida Shenghua. The colored plates can see whether Luoping Zinc can continue to a new high, as long as the new high The trend continues, non-ferrous metals will have a chance, Dongxu Optoelectronics continues to rise to drive the performance of graphene in the afternoon, if the trend of Dongxu photoelectric continues, then it will not rule out that graphene will continue later.
At present, the signs of sudden adjustments of strong stocks still exist, but there are also varieties with record highs. This kind of market is not too good, because the hotspots are poor in persistence, no hot spots, little activity, and poor profitability. It is not too bad, because the strong stocks have not experienced a continuous down limit, and it is estimated that there will be a day of ink.
From a technical point of view, the sky and the sky continue to compete in the 10 antennas. At present, the support below is obvious. There are still repeated short-term infinite quantities, but the callback space is also limited. The long-term bulls and bears are very insane, and they are not at this critical moment! Yesterday was a good short-selling opportunity for the bears, and the GEM was hard to pull up. Today is a good opportunity for the long-term offensive of the GEM. In the morning, it also showed offensive posture. As a result, it was inexplicable in the afternoon. The reason is that the annual line is of great significance and both sides are not sure!
Overall, Wang Dabin believes that before the short-term volume can be released, the market will repeatedly resound the ink, but the space for the decline has been blocked. In addition, the recent loose expectations are expected to escalate, and the overall market is still good. It will appear here at any time. Heavy-duty counterattack, it is recommended to continue to pay attention to the low-stakes opportunities of the weighted stocks and sub-new stocks in the GEM under the style conversion.
If the stock market is like a battlefield, there will never be a general who will win every battle in the world. Only those who are defeated and defeated, who are defeated and brave, and who ultimately win! In the A-share market, the real investors are not pursuing more than earning more, but pursuing how they can survive for a long time. Only in the stock market will they survive for a long time and have profitable capital!
Liang Zhu: Wu Lian Yin is not afraid and waits for Changyang
On Wednesday, July 20, 2016, the market opened lower at 2 points and opened at 3034 points. After a slight decline, it touched the 3043 points at the highest point of the whole day. It gradually went up to 3022 points at the lowest point of the whole day and then rose again. The afternoon opened slightly. After the shock, it fell back and then oscillated and rebounded. The late retreat closed at 3027 points, down 8.70 points, with a volume of 171.5 billion yuan, and closed a small Yinxian. The market continued to adjust slightly to close five consecutive yin today, but this five-yin yin is not afraid, but the expectation of re-opening Changyang has been strengthened. Why?
Although the market broke out of the trend of Wulianyin at 3050 points, the adjustment was limited, and the volume of transactions showed a significant shrinkage, indicating that there is no kinetic energy to actively kill, and the main purpose of repairing short-term technical indicators is to The situation of the medium-and long-term moving average Jinchao's upward movement has not changed, which means that the nature of Wulianyin is short-term adjustment rather than short-term peaking. Even if it is normal to go down to the 20-day moving average or the 30-day moving average, it is more normal. Conducive to the adjustment of technical indicators in place, and the expectation of the market to rise again after the short-term adjustment is over, therefore, even if the signal of accelerated adjustment is not enough, it will become an excellent opportunity for short-term low-suction.
The market consolidation of the Platform at 3000 points is expected. From the low point of 2638 points, the market is running in a large box of 400 points, with 2850 points as the central axis and 200 points above and below. At present, the market is consolidating on the upper edge of the box, waiting for the breakthrough opportunity to come. Once the breakthrough is made, the target will point to the 3200-point annual line, and the market will enter the new box. Liang Zhu believes that the upward breakout of the broader market is always a high probability event. This is determined by China's economic situation. The current consolidation is the process of washing and changing hands. After all, there are more profitable and unwinding sets. The external incremental funds are limited, and the market can only choose to oscillate.
Although there are variables in the short-term trend, it is still unknown whether the market is accelerating adjustment or continuing to oscillate. However, Liang Zhu believes that the opportunity to re-open Changyang in the broader market has always existed. The way of washing the dishes is nothing more than the killing tray and the shocking dish. In terms of the recent operation of the market, it is basically a shock washing after the Changyang pull up, but this time there is a trend of five consecutive yin, but there is no Change the overall operating status of the market; at the same time, the recent market has always ushered in a five-day shock, and it is a long-term rise, so Liang Zhu tends to be optimistic that the market is likely to usher in tomorrow. A round of Changyang pulled up. If unfortunately the trend of Changyin's fall, keep in mind low suck.
Therefore, the market continued to adjust and close the trend of five consecutive yin today, which led to an increase in the expectation of accelerated adjustment. However, the decline of Wulianyin was limited and the trading volume shrank significantly. On the contrary, the probability of re-emergence of Changyang began to increase. Regardless of how the market chooses tomorrow, Changyin is a low-suction opportunity, and Changyang is expected to open the annual offensive. I hope that tomorrow's market will be able to start Changyang again.
Trading point 2008: How to get after five stars?
1. Today's broader market continued to collect and receive the fifth yin cross star. The quantity can be only 171.5 billion continuous shrinkage, indicating that the market's main force has not done much action, but the virgin capital round is fried, but the form is still normal. Back to step on the momentum, the individual believes that before the volume can be re-amplified, it is still cautious, re-establishing the increment and confirming the opportunity after the breakthrough is effective or more reliable.
2. Technically, the daily index of the Shanghai Daily Index MACD red column has reached zero axis, and the long-term face is subject to variability. The mid-point turning point of the zero-axis category of the daily line remains to be confirmed; the 15-315 minute cross-cut pattern of the Shanghai index has not been reversed. Continuation, it is expected that there will be more shocks on Thursday, and there will be a reversal in the sharp setbacks, and there will be a slap in the pulse. The direction of the market is not long-term and long-term. It is recommended to stand on the premise and make a high-slung and low-sucking.
3, Thursday, the point is 3050 points, the next file is 3000 points, the medium-term central line is still 3055 points for the axis, strategy: the mid-line warehouse does not break 2800 shares, the short-term theme class is appropriate rallies, the second-line blue chip chooses the bargain, the plate is based Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, medical, chemical, steel, environmental protection, finance, Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect. [Note: Purely belongs to the personal operation experience log, not as a stock reference, 7.20]
He Qunrong: Please be alert to the four black swan of A shares
Most of the recent market movements have been in a narrow range, but the focus of the market is gradually moving down. The market's callback is not large, but the volume of transactions has shrunk day by day, and the sluggish volume is not enough for the market to complete the upward breakthrough. The main sectors of the rebound in the previous period, such as consumption, second-tier blue chips, etc., have recently encountered pressure from profit taking. In this turbulent period of the market, other types of theme stocks took turns, but the speed of the subject stocks rotation was also very fast, and there was continuous doubt. If there is chasing, there is still risk.
On July 19th, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released the latest Global Economic Outlook report. The report lowered the global economic growth forecast. However, this year's China's economic growth forecast has increased from 6.5% to 6.6%. It is still expected that China's economic growth will slow down to 6.2% in 2017. This is also a dawn in the Chinese economic outlook. In recent months, the overall economic data has been sluggish, but the unexpectedly new credit data in June also makes people feel that steady growth is continuing. The market had expected the overweight of monetary policy to approach, which mainly refers to a strong policy of lowering or lowering interest rates. However, from the recent policy tone of management's moderate policy, it may be difficult to release the RRR or interest rate cuts in the short term. The latest situation shows that the central bank carried out a 60 billion 7-day reverse repurchase on Tuesday, and the winning bid rate was 2.25%, which was the same as the previous period. On the same day, 30 billion reverse repurchase expired, achieving a net investment of 30 billion, which was the net for the second consecutive day. Delivery.
On the whole, the central bank has recently adopted a relatively moderate monetary policy such as open market operations to keep the market funds stable. Recently, Premier Li also said that Li Keqiang: To implement a prudent monetary policy, the active fiscal policy should play a four-plus-two role. In combination with the policy orientation of the recent period of time, the fiscal policy will continue to be overweight, and it is also a dominant policy, while monetary policies such as interest rate cuts have not yet reached the end of the code.
Since the end of May, the market has been in a turbulent upward trend since the end of May, but in July, there have been more and more black swan events in the market. One is the black swan of the delisting type, mainly because of the unprecedented strengthening of supervision and the favorable long-term market. . Be cautious about stocks that have a risk of delisting. The second is the black swan whose restricted shares are lifted. On July 18th, China Railway Construction dropped its volume and reached a total of 3.475 billion yuan. On two trading days, China Railway Construction's transaction amounted to 4.871 billion yuan, more than the previous month's volume of China Railway Construction. The reason is that China Railway Construction's non-public issuance of 1.242 billion shares expired, and it was listed and circulated on July 18. The lifting of the restricted shares has caused a sharp drop in the recent share price of China Railway Construction. The third is the black swan that is added or reorganized. Previously, the CSRC publicly solicited opinions on the revision of the Measures for the Restructuring of Major Assets of Listed Companies. This is another revision of the "Restructuring Measures" after November 2014. The focus is to further standardize the market-known "backdoor" listing behavior, embodying the concept of "regular supervision, strict supervision, and comprehensive supervision." In the past month or so, many listed companies have stopped the increase and other matters, and many companies in the current policy planning have to keep close follow-up.
The fourth is the performance of mines in the China Daily. For example, the results of the interim report released by the Golden Seed Wine of the liquor industry are much lower than market expectations, resulting in the continued stock price. The black swan of the individual consumer stocks such as Golden Seed Wine not only caused the decline of its stock price, but also completely changed the pattern of liquor or even the entire consumer sector. Previously, the liquor and consumer sectors could be said to have risen in tandem, but today's trend has become very different. July-August is a concentrated disclosure period for the performance of the mid-year report. Even if it is the consumer stocks that have historically performed the most performances in the annual report, there are also performances of black swan, not to mention other industries.
As the market is shrinking and the core pressure is not far from the top of the market, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines. Either wait to continue to return to the low-midline layout, or wait for an upward break to open up the medium-term upside. At present, the shrinkage is more serious. If the market is going up, relying on the theme stocks will definitely not be enough. First of all, we need a few days of blue chip stocks to increase the market volume, and drive the market to break through. After the breakthrough, the growth stocks will have a new round of performance opportunities. At the initial force, the strong sectors of the previous round of the market, such as financial IT, Beidou navigation, and consumer leaders may also follow the blue chip stocks. However, it is recommended to continue to be cautious before exerting strength.
Recommended reading: Review: Focus on the three elements of the market on Thursday will accelerate the decline?
Stock Sea Survival on the 20th Evening Review: Wuyin Star Tests Three Thousand Points Support
1: The market index: 3027 points; fell: 0.29%; today the market opened lower and lower, closed the small Yinxian. The volume of 171.5 billion was 15.7 billion less than the previous trading day of 18.72 billion; the hot spot in the session was: sapphire, public transportation and smart TV; while the gold concept, aviation and ship adjustments were in the first; the second market: 1,076, There were 38 daily limit; 1438 were down and 3 were down.
2: Survival Yesterday's late commentary titled: "The stock market survives on the 19th, the late evaluation: the short-term ideal stop-stop target" is: "The disk is at a certain support near 3000 points; and the strong support will be in Near the 20th line! In short: before the market regains the 5-day line, the trend of short-term adjustment will not change easily."
3: Today's market is a shock around the 10-day line. The main force reduced the current support limit to 3,000 points. The market has continuously received 5 small Yinxian lines, the test is everyone's confidence and patience. At present, the 10-day line of the broader market is no longer a support level or a resistance level. With the 5-day line heading down. The oscillating interval is compressed to: between the 5th and 3000th points. So tomorrow, as long as the market holds 3,000 points, it will continue to shrink the market repeatedly, and the stocks will continue to bloom!
Survival in the sea: the night of July 20, 2016
Jade name: shrinking and adjusting stars, 3000 points will be tested again
At present, the Shanghai stock index has shown a trend of five consecutive yin, although the decline is relatively limited, and has not broken below the effective support and important integer mark, the market is still dominated by the repair technical indicators, but the daily MACD has a dead fork Signs, KDJ also has signs of high passivation, so 3000 points will inevitably bear the pressure, especially in terms of volume energy, the Shanghai index has returned to 170 billion yuan, returning to the depressed energy range, such an amount can be difficult to maintain 3000 The attack mode above the point, and the history of 3000 points is a complex, long-lasting, tug-of-war pattern. Yuming believes that from the recent hot-spot trend, some clues can be seen. After the adjustment of strong stocks such as brokerages, non-ferrous stocks, new stocks, enchanting stocks and military workers, they have maintained a sideways trend. They have not launched another attack, or they have not yet raised funds. Be prepared to launch a new offensive, in a period of gaining momentum. At this stage, the long and short differences are large, but the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong, so there is a trend of the star line. After the GEM was tried to rise, it also fell back today.
The current market is very similar to 2002-2003. On the one hand, the market's loose monetary policy cannot continue to expand, and the macro liquidity margin has reached a limit. However, the previous two-year RRR cuts have ensured the abundance of stock liquidity, and also enabled the oscillatory market to have reserve momentum. On the other hand, after the rapid decline in the de-leverage of the stock market in 2002-2003, it was the rapid outflow of funds on and off the market after the dot-com bubble burst. At the same time, the stock market's earnings fell sharply, resulting in funds favoring other investment channels, such as real estate and futures. , bonds, etc. In today's Weibo subscription article "02-03 market two points suggest three seasons rhythm" not only detailed comparison of the above factors, ahi graphical analysis, after a wave of bubbles, the index fell rapidly, and then entered the decline resistance cycle, the formation The sideways oscillate and the band rebounded, and the final box fell. After the “last fall†appeared, the bear market ended and a new wave of bull markets began to appear. The most tempting thing here is the rebound in the bear market, and some new highs, but this makes the subsequent fall back even more fierce, and let the bull market brew in such pain. This has a lot of inspiration for today's market, especially for the current rhythm of the market in the third quarter. At 20:30 tonight, Yuming Weibo will explain this in detail. Welcome to watch it.
On the whole, after the recent index remained at a high level, the market risk appetite dropped significantly, and the volume was able to shrink sharply. The market adjustment momentum has already begun to emerge in the latter part of last week. The space in the index is limited, and the upper set of the plate cannot be underestimated. Therefore, the market is fluctuating in the short term. Yuming believes that the index has repeatedly competed for five days on the 10th line, and has also received five star lines. There is no breakthrough between the top and bottom. The purpose is actually to preserve the strong features, but the short-term 5-day moving average moves down and the 10-day moving average has formed a death. The trend of the fork, which will further suppress the rebound space of the index, which tends to converge with the trend of the MACD fast and slow line forming a short-term dead fork, when the index center of gravity will further fall back to 3000 points. In terms of strategy, the star line is a relay form. There is no clear direction and it needs to be confirmed by the K line. Therefore, after complying with the previously mentioned first half of July, there will be a rest in the second half of the month, and then at the end of the month. There should be a wave of high in early August, and the moment is just the adjustment and retreat cycle.
First River 20th Review: The market will change space with time
[Before the market opened, the market forecast is known]:
On Tuesday, the market opened lower by 3.33 points, back to the support near the 13-day moving average. In the afternoon, the market oscillated and closed up at 3036.6 points, down 6.96 points, or 0.23%, deep and weak.
Short-term corrections as scheduled, back to the 13-day moving average mentioned, patience and so on.
The MACD red column was shortened, KDJ was high and the CCI fell below 100; the OBV indicator turned head, and the deviation rate turned downwards. After the short-term shock of the market, there was a counter-pumping, and the pound was high.
The 15 minute line of the market is in the rallying area, and the back pumping is high and the pound is lost. The support of 3026-3010 cannot be broken. The pressure of 3068 - 3090 or so, the high and the pound, the breakthrough.
[Overview of the disk]:
The market opened at 3034.71 points, opened at 1.89 points, and oscillated around 3036. At midday, it closed at 3035.78 points, down slightly by 0.73 points, and the stocks fell more and more.
In the afternoon, the market continued to fluctuate. It closed at 3027.9 points in the afternoon, down 8.7 points, and the stocks fell more and more.
[First view of the city]:
The main market net outflow of 5.5 billion, the market has received 5 cross stars, seeking support near the 13-day moving average, you can absorb the bargain. The market outlook continues to maintain the pattern of shocks and upswings. The market outlook refers to the pressure of 3071 - 3097 or so, breaking through the high 3121 and 500-day moving averages around 3188. Pay attention to the pressure around 3100 and 3177.
The market MACD red column shortened, KDJ high dead fork, CCI fell below 100;
The OBV indicator was adjusted back, the deviation rate turned downward, and the market oscillated in a short-term shock.
The 30-minute line of the market hit the middle rail of the Bollinger Band and the pressure of around 3050. According to the ABC three-point positioning analysis method, the short-term entry into the rallies has been completed, and the first target mentioned in the first river is around 3071, and cannot be lost 3020-3000;
The 60-minute line hits the middle of the Bollinger Band. Test the support level of 3020 - 3000.
Investors took advantage of the trend and took advantage of the short-term trend, waiting for the callback to replenish opportunities. In the weekend article "waiting for a low-sucking opportunity", Xianhe said: Back to the support between the 5-day moving average and the 13-day moving average (3010 points), you can make up the bargain. The limit adjustment is near the 20-day moving average.
The risk is released in June, and July and August will usher in a “meal†market during the year. Of course, the market can't be done overnight, and the market will have to oscillate repeatedly.
The third quarter will usher in the best market environment of the year.
On the macro level, China's economy has entered an "L"-shaped transformation and bottoming state from the era of rapid growth. GDP has also entered the normal state of stable development in the "6" era from the "7" era, deepening the deepening of reforms. The series of reform policies are also being revised, released and implemented continuously, and the reform of state-owned enterprises has also entered the substantive operational stage.
The Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect has also been opened for one year. It is in good working condition, which is conducive to the improvement and opening of Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect technology. It will increase the “channel†of the A-share market, and the long-term funds and pensions that are highly concerned by market investors will also be available in the second half of the year. Expectations to enter the market, so under the stimulus of multiple positive expectations, the "Mavericks market" is worth looking forward to.
The ability to maintain the ability to continue is the key to the market. If the quantitative indicators continue to be effectively matched with the amplification, there is still room for further rebound in the market.
[Post-market judgment]
Xianhe City believes that the upward trend of the broader market has taken shape. 3100 points or an important watershed, the callback is a low-suction opportunity. Short-term callbacks, or 4 wave callbacks, with time for space, and then 5 waves back pumping.
As I said before: As long as the effective breakthrough of the 60-day, half-year line or 77-day moving average pressure, the market will regain its upward trend. Others fear me greedy. Only those who are market prophets can sail smoothly in this sea of ​​stocks.
The market opened in the second half of the year. Driven by risk appetite, the market is expected to see a "food" market. Industry configuration, optimistic about brokerage and rare earth and other sectors. Therefore, the selection of individual stocks, the layout of the short-term line is still an effective strategy.
[callback low suction skills]
1. The stock price deviates from the average price line, KDJ gold fork,
2. After the fall, begin to break through the trend pressure line.
3, KDJ gold fork, WR William under 80;
4. The stocks with the bottom of the MACD diverging or appearing red columns.
5, 5 unit moving averages should also start the Golden Fork 10 moving average.
Only "predictive like God", and then "executive like a fool", can "big retreat" in the red disk in time, will not pick up the last stick. In order to get the bargaining chips when the market is most scared.
[Point analysis]
GEM, shock zone 2260 - 2325 or so, pressure 2300, 2350 or so.
The market volatility range is 3020 - 3088, supporting 3030, 3021, 3012 or so.
The pressure is about 3050, 3070, 3088. The upward pressure is: 3100, 3120, 3134, 3150 or so. Time window around Thursday.
At present, it breaks through the shock box 2900-2950 points, which is close to the first target position of 3071 points (the high point is 3060.05 points and the target position is consistent). The second resistance is around 3117.
[Main trend]:
The top 5 sectors of the main net inflow are: wood furniture, integrated industry, delivery logistics, materials industry, pesticides and veterinary drugs.
The top 5 sectors of the main net outflow are: precious metals, non-ferrous metals, real estate, brokerage trusts, and chemical industries.
The short-term sectors that can be concerned are: wood furniture, general industry, delivery logistics, materials industry, pesticides and veterinary drugs. Pay attention to the rotation of the plates.
The concept that is expected to be hyped is: graphene, sapphire, colleges, 3D glass, charging piles, smart home, smart TV, virus prevention, domestic chips, smart city.
[See the trick is the key]
If you want to change your own destiny, you have to change your mind, keep up with the market rhythm, low suction and high throw, band operation!
The river has always believed in it: the judgment of the ups and downs is not important! The point of strain is the key!
Disclaimer: The above content is for reference only, not as a basis for investment decision, based on this, the risk is at your own risk!
Wang Guoqiang: The probability of going up tomorrow is big (original)
Last trading day said: "There is still stage pressure near 3043 points and 3050 points. It is a good sign to regain the closing price of 3054 points on Friday."
Soon after the opening of the market, it was just up to the first pressure of 3043 points and then fell back. The lowest rebound occurred in the 1522 support 3022 after encountering support. The band meteor data will converge tomorrow, and it is possible to choose a short-term breakthrough direction, or break the low yesterday. Point, the dream of this round of attack 3200 is shattered; or the second pressure level of 3050 points or even 3054 points began to break through. The market has received 5 consecutive yin, this year's market has only received 2 times 5 consecutive yin before this, there is no record of 6 consecutive yin, so the probability of closing the red tomorrow is great!
Make an appointment to visit Dalian on July 30, telephone: 155-666-66-968, Jay Chou.
07.20 Kingdom strong band meteor support: 3022; resistance: 3051; strong support: 3003; strong resistance: 3062
07.21 Kingdom strong band meteor support: 3018; resistance 3038; strong support: 3010; strong resistance: 3051
This week's weekly band meteor support: 3012; resistance: 3097; strong support: 2956; strong resistance: 3125
Last week's weekly band meteor support: 2937; resistance: 3039; strong support: 2879; strong resistance: 3082
July monthly line meteor support: 2860; resistance: 2999; strong support: 2765; strong resistance: 3042
Moonline band meteor support in June: 2805; resistance: 3028; strong support: 2681; strong resistance: 3128
Lianxin: I am about to face an important change
At noon, with the emergence of the current market, the current situation of stock market investors is relatively tight, so the next question to everyone is whether the sudden drop will occur, and the emergence is to buy. From this point, it can be seen that if the sudden fall does not occur, it means that the main interest in getting the goods is not large, which will restrict the rising space of the market to a certain extent. In this case, although there is still a rise after the expected rest, The meaning of buying is not great, and the main action here will also provide a reference for us to develop the selling point.
In the afternoon trend, the market will continue to oscillate until the close, inadvertently, the shock since the July 12 surge has been going on for six days. Judging from the amount of energy, the shocks of the last two trading days have been greatly reduced. Today, the volume can hit a new low, indicating that the market will open the window again tomorrow. A thoughtful friend will find that at noon, the author mentioned the problem of setting up a selling point. In combination with the re-emergence window that appears again in this position, some questions need to be said.
Where is the market currently located? This is the time point of nearly half a year after the occurrence of 2638 points, which means that the rise since 2638 has been going on for nearly half a year. It can be clearly seen from the k-line that this is only a rebound that corresponds to the decline in January. It is a high probability event to continue to fall after the rebound. So when the rebound has been going on for nearly half a year, the rebound since 2638 has actually entered the final stage, so the change point at the front high 3097 mark should be regarded as an important change.
From the recent k-line morphology, the current state is good, the quantity can be stable, and there is a rising ability. Once it rises again, a new high will appear and there is a possibility of continued rise. Based on the above analysis, as of today's close, the more objective evaluation of the market is that the rebound has entered the final stage, but the market has the ability to rise or even continue to rise.
According to the above analysis, the response to the change window that will be opened tomorrow will be clear. If the market is under heavy volume, for the friends holding the currency, it will provide a low buying opportunity, and the market is expected to go down first; if it is directly upward, for the shareholders who hold the shares, it will provide the opportunity to sell at a high position, after the new high. The task is to sell at an opportune time. In this regard, the author's article will also follow the recommendations in time.
Shoushan: Continue to shrink the small Yin typical retreat on the way (20th review)
Today, the market opened 13 points lower, the index fluctuated downwards, the highest touched 3043 points, the lowest hit 3022 points, closed at 3027 points, down 8 points, a decrease of 0.29%, the transaction further shrank, individual stocks fell more and less.
According to the analysis of the evaluation on Tuesday, “the short-term profit may continue to shrink and the market may stabilize. After the market consolidation, there will be or will continue to rise.â€
Today, the market oscillated down, and the super funds and total funds still have a large outflow.
After the market's Changyang, the trend of repeated small reversals has been on the sixth day. The Xiaoyin line has 5 out, but the transaction has gradually decreased. The characteristics of the callback on the rise are still quite obvious. It should be said that the current shocks and repeated small reversals are very strong adjustments. If the weak ones kill and fall, it is very normal to kill 20 antennas. Looking at the current disk, the possibility of gradually stabilizing and then continuing the uptrend is still very large.
Appropriate control of the position in operation, appropriate fallback.
Wang Dabin: The sky is rising and the sun is rising!
Today, the stock market can be said to be unpredictable, but the bulls have once again missed an opportunity to attack! In the end, it closed down 0.29% to 3027.90 points. The K-line formed a five-day yin, and the volume of the two cities continued to shrink. For many investors who are waiting for the market to be clear, the Shanghai stock index is shrinking after five consecutive yin, its mood is undoubtedly anxious. So, how to deal with such a market, what new phenomena in the market deserve our attention?
From the face of the disk, today's heavyweights continue to slump, and the stocks headed by the GEM began to perform. Lithium batteries have shown a good linkage performance under the leadership of Shida Shenghua. The colored plates can see whether Luoping Zinc can continue to a new high, as long as the new high The trend continues, non-ferrous metals will have a chance, Dongxu Optoelectronics continues to rise to drive the performance of graphene in the afternoon, if the trend of Dongxu photoelectric continues, then it will not rule out that graphene will continue later.
At present, the signs of sudden adjustments of strong stocks still exist, but there are also varieties with record highs. This kind of market is not too good, because the hotspots are poor in persistence, no hot spots, little activity, and poor profitability. It is not too bad, because the strong stocks have not experienced a continuous down limit, and it is estimated that there will be a day of ink.
From a technical point of view, the sky and the sky continue to compete in the 10 antennas. At present, the support below is obvious. There are still repeated short-term infinite quantities, but the callback space is also limited. The long-term bulls and bears are very insane, and they are not at this critical moment! Yesterday was a good short-selling opportunity for the bears, and the GEM was hard to pull up. Today is a good opportunity for the long-term offensive of the GEM. In the morning, it also showed offensive posture. As a result, it was inexplicable in the afternoon. The reason is that the annual line is of great significance and both sides are not sure!
Overall, Wang Dabin believes that before the short-term volume can be released, the market will repeatedly resound the ink, but the space for the decline has been blocked. In addition, the recent loose expectations are expected to escalate, and the overall market is still good. It will appear here at any time. Heavy-duty counterattack, it is recommended to continue to pay attention to the low-stakes opportunities of the weighted stocks and sub-new stocks in the GEM under the style conversion.
If the stock market is like a battlefield, there will never be a general who will win every battle in the world. Only those who are defeated and defeated, who are defeated and brave, and who ultimately win! In the A-share market, the real investors are not pursuing more than earning more, but pursuing how they can survive for a long time. Only in the stock market will they survive for a long time and have profitable capital!
Liang Zhu: Wu Lian Yin is not afraid and waits for Changyang
On Wednesday, July 20, 2016, the market opened lower at 2 points and opened at 3034 points. After a slight decline, it touched the 3043 points at the highest point of the whole day. It gradually went up to 3022 points at the lowest point of the whole day and then rose again. The afternoon opened slightly. After the shock, it fell back and then oscillated and rebounded. The late retreat closed at 3027 points, down 8.70 points, with a volume of 171.5 billion yuan, and closed a small Yinxian. The market continued to adjust slightly to close five consecutive yin today, but this five-yin yin is not afraid, but the expectation of re-opening Changyang has been strengthened. Why?
Although the market broke out of the trend of Wulianyin at 3050 points, the adjustment was limited, and the volume of transactions showed a significant shrinkage, indicating that there is no kinetic energy to actively kill, and the main purpose of repairing short-term technical indicators is to The situation of the medium-and long-term moving average Jinchao's upward movement has not changed, which means that the nature of Wulianyin is short-term adjustment rather than short-term peaking. Even if it is normal to go down to the 20-day moving average or the 30-day moving average, it is more normal. Conducive to the adjustment of technical indicators in place, and the expectation of the market to rise again after the short-term adjustment is over, therefore, even if the signal of accelerated adjustment is not enough, it will become an excellent opportunity for short-term low-suction.
The market consolidation of the Platform at 3000 points is expected. From the low point of 2638 points, the market is running in a large box of 400 points, with 2850 points as the central axis and 200 points above and below. At present, the market is consolidating on the upper edge of the box, waiting for the breakthrough opportunity to come. Once the breakthrough is made, the target will point to the 3200-point annual line, and the market will enter the new box. Liang Zhu believes that the upward breakout of the broader market is always a high probability event. This is determined by China's economic situation. The current consolidation is the process of washing and changing hands. After all, there are more profitable and unwinding sets. The external incremental funds are limited, and the market can only choose to oscillate.
Although there are variables in the short-term trend, it is still unknown whether the market is accelerating adjustment or continuing to oscillate. However, Liang Zhu believes that the opportunity to re-open Changyang in the broader market has always existed. The way of washing the dishes is nothing more than the killing tray and the shocking dish. In terms of the recent operation of the market, it is basically a shock washing after the Changyang pull up, but this time there is a trend of five consecutive yin, but there is no Change the overall operating status of the market; at the same time, the recent market has always ushered in a five-day shock, and it is a long-term rise, so Liang Zhu tends to be optimistic that the market is likely to usher in tomorrow. A round of Changyang pulled up. If unfortunately the trend of Changyin's fall, keep in mind low suck.
Therefore, the market continued to adjust and close the trend of five consecutive yin today, which led to an increase in the expectation of accelerated adjustment. However, the decline of Wulianyin was limited and the trading volume shrank significantly. On the contrary, the probability of re-emergence of Changyang began to increase. Regardless of how the market chooses tomorrow, Changyin is a low-suction opportunity, and Changyang is expected to open the annual offensive. I hope that tomorrow's market will be able to start Changyang again.
Trading point 2008: How to get after five stars?
1. Today's broader market continued to collect and receive the fifth yin cross star. The quantity can be only 171.5 billion continuous shrinkage, indicating that the market's main force has not done much action, but the virgin capital round is fried, but the form is still normal. Back to step on the momentum, the individual believes that before the volume can be re-amplified, it is still cautious, re-establishing the increment and confirming the opportunity after the breakthrough is effective or more reliable.
2. Technically, the daily index of the Shanghai Daily Index MACD red column has reached zero axis, and the long-term face is subject to variability. The mid-point turning point of the zero-axis category of the daily line remains to be confirmed; the 15-315 minute cross-cut pattern of the Shanghai index has not been reversed. Continuation, it is expected that there will be more shocks on Thursday, and there will be a reversal in the sharp setbacks, and there will be a slap in the pulse. The direction of the market is not long-term and long-term. It is recommended to stand on the premise and make a high-slung and low-sucking.
3, Thursday, the point is 3050 points, the next file is 3000 points, the medium-term central line is still 3055 points for the axis, strategy: the mid-line warehouse does not break 2800 shares, the short-term theme class is appropriate rallies, the second-line blue chip chooses the bargain, the plate is based Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, medical, chemical, steel, environmental protection, finance, Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect. [Note: Purely belongs to the personal operation experience log, not as a stock reference, 7.20]
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